Ethereum’s Edge: Will Structural Demand Outweigh Geopolitical Concerns?

Ethereum (ETH) has become more volatile again, falling to $2,420 on Friday. This is mostly because tensions in the Middle East are increasing. The short-term attitude remains unclear following four days of exchange inflows totaling 285,000 ETH. Even though there is a lot of selling going on, long-term structural demand continues to grow.
Exchange net inflows typically indicate that people are selling more, and Friday’s 72,000 ETH flood demonstrates this trend. The futures market also reacted, with open interest rising by 720,000 ETH, indicating that short bets are increasing. According to Coinglass, this shift resulted in $163 million in liquidations in just 24 hours, with long positions outnumbering short positions significantly.
Demand and staking surge below the surface.
Despite the market’s volatility, ETH’s basic statistics tell a more compelling story. According to CryptoQuant, accumulation addresses, or long-term wallets with no history of selling, have added 5 million ETH to their holdings since early June. The majority of this has gone into staking, bringing the total amount of ETH staked to a record 35.1 million. This demonstrates that holders are confident in themselves, even when prices fall.
Technical Outlook: Is a Triangle Breakout Near?
ETH is nearing the top of a symmetrical triangle pattern. The 200-day SMA acts as overhead resistance, and the 50-day EMA serves as support. If ETH breaks out, it may return to $2,850. If it falls, it may challenge support near the 100-day SMA again. Indicators like as RSI and Stoch are still neutral or slightly negative, indicating that momentum is slowing.
BTCS’s treasury injection of 1,000 ETH via Aave, on the other hand, demonstrates that institutions remain confidence even in difficult times. As the world changes, ETH’s long-term fundamentals, growing staking, robust accumulation, and steady network activity, may provide investors with a reason to remain stable.
Also read: Ripple Escrow Seizure Rumors Debunked by Experts